Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.858039 1.041489 1.235270 1.453544 1.691006 1.940122 2.219859
2025-02-09 0.658222 0.923061 1.222357 1.578257 1.983415 2.424710 2.936476
2025-02-16 0.531453 0.833389 1.191896 1.633962 2.151661 2.728142 3.408899
2025-02-23 0.419820 0.741786 1.143782 1.656771 2.272959 2.972292 3.810674
2025-03-02 0.300366 0.617036 1.036850 1.593237 2.279521 3.073460 4.039395
2025-03-09 0.204057 0.504206 0.930328 1.517885 2.261892 3.138435 4.219519
2025-03-16 0.141116 0.425972 0.859088 1.478303 2.280439 3.239978 4.436672
2025-03-23 0.109277 0.391228 0.843775 1.508085 2.382422 3.439220 4.767029
2025-03-30 0.078357 0.349030 0.812190 1.512092 2.448891 3.593375 5.042262
2025-04-06 0.049157 0.298571 0.761597 1.485382 2.472534 3.692704 5.249983
2025-04-13 0.038802 0.287776 0.772349 1.543713 2.606073 3.927032 5.619827
2025-04-20 0.030613 0.279256 0.785460 1.604600 2.742526 4.164798 5.993860
2025-04-27 0.025958 0.281602 0.820498 1.703196 2.937111 4.485113 6.480882
2025-05-04 0.023323 0.290048 0.866939 1.820101 3.158403 4.841742 7.015799
2025-05-11 0.016907 0.280609 0.880023 1.886463 3.310992 5.111261 7.443684
2025-05-18 0.009166 0.256974 0.864759 1.909018 3.403775 5.305110 7.779120
2025-05-25 0.001443 0.206861 0.792708 1.841083 3.370641 5.337402 7.914752
2025-06-01 NaN 0.159160 0.715587 1.759358 3.314408 5.337177 8.007752
2025-06-08 NaN 0.127932 0.665836 1.716558 3.308892 5.399259 8.175238
2025-06-15 NaN 0.117774 0.662555 1.748795 3.408744 5.597517 8.512274
2025-06-22 NaN 0.102317 0.643385 1.753141 3.468046 5.742500 8.782417
2025-06-29 NaN 0.081824 0.606022 1.724210 3.478062 5.822038 8.969763
2025-07-06 NaN 0.080650 0.621947 1.787364 3.621560 6.077178 9.378355